Centrist Left, Macron, Likely France’s Next President, But Putin & Trump Working Hard to Scuttle His Strong Poll Numbers

A big televised debate between France’s Presidential candidate is set for this Tuesday evening, but centrist left, Macron, looks set to be France’s next President, if Putin fails to pull off a coup like he did in America to help the Trump of France, Le Pen & of France’s “Rule of Law” holds, without similarity to America’s FBI rogue behavior to bring down the Democrat Party’s Hillary right before the election. The Far Left, something of a Bernie of France, is doing poorly.

But Putin & Trump are trying to help Le Pen.

Trump’s Chief Strategist, Bannon, with the Nazi, Fascist & KKK leaning website news, Breitbart, has for months launch its French operation with some key Frence people close to Le Pan & Putin is so involved with targeted distribution of “Fake News” in France as he did in America, with a combination of internet social media bots  & Julian’s wikileaks, France’s authority had to warned the French people of “Fake News” hitting France. Putin also wants to meet Trump soon, for some photo opportunity & for “Fake Talk” of a global betterment with Russia and America as friends, and this, will have some knock off benefit for Le Pen, who just met Putin with a great deal of photo opportunity. But Putin has been doing much house cleaning, meaning, i.e. assassination and news of Putin’s dirty deed was much not welcomed by the French people, who typically, are considered, sophisticated, unlike the reputations of much of Americans, especially after Trump won, as being simple minded and easy to manipulate.

Marcron is a nightmare for Putin and Trump, and all those into extremist politics that been hitting the planet with various populist movement, such as Trump with America.

Putin particularly, is in a crisis mode with Marcron because Marcron is pro EU, to which it is a long-time dream of Putin to see the fall of EU, which would make Russia the most powerful and important country inn Europe. Currently, it is a combination of Germany & France, and also Italy, with EU, that makes Russia a second rate power and influencer. UK is also another thorn for Putin, as UK’s traditionally, is close to America’s Conservative & Centrist traditionally hawkish on Russia.

Such as Trump is being hit in America, with being called a Fascist by many credible people and units, Le Pen, is also being hit for her being a Fascist like Trump. A French Court said a few weeks back, calling Le Pen a Fascist is allowed.

The Independent reports (source) with a headline: “French presidential election: Marine Le Pen set to be crushed by Emmanuel Macron, poll reveals” with a sub heading “Latest poll predicts clear victory for Emmanuel Macron in second round of voting”

Marine Le Pen could still win the first round of the French presidential election but will then be crushed by her likely opponent, according to the latest poll. The far-right leader is tied on 25 per cent of support for the initial ballot on 23 April but looks set to lose heavily to the centrist candidate Emmanuel Macron in the second and decisive vote.

More than 14,300 people were surveyed for the opinion poll by LeMonde/Cevipof, which showed a sharp rise in voter certainty as choices solidify ahead of the rapidly approaching election. The research predicted that Mr Macron would beat Front National leader Ms Le Pen in the second round of the election on 7 May by 61 per cent to 39 per cent. Voter certainty rose sharply compared with the previous survey, with 64 per ent of those surveyed sure of their decision – an increase of five points. Ms Le Pen’s supporters voters were the most certain, with 82 per cent sure of their choice, while Mr Fillon’s certainty score was up seven points at 75 per cent and Mr Macron’s up nine points to 61 per cent.

Francois Hollande’s former finance minister defected from the French socialists to run for president last year, founding his own centre-left En Marche! party. He has enjoyed growing support from voters and gained high profile backers, including ex-Prime Minister Manuel Valls, after former favourite Francois Fillon was engulfed by a “fake jobs” scandal.

Mr Fillon, the candidate for the centre-right Les Republicains, is under formal investigation over payments made to his wife for work she is alleged not to have carried out. Mr Fillon is predicted to be eliminated from the first round with the remaining candidates, with just 17.5 per cent of support according to the poll.

The far-left candidate Jean-Luc Melenchon was seen getting 15 per cent, up 3.5 points and ahead of Socialist candidate Benoit Hamon on 10 per cent.

Ms Le Pen’s supporters voters were the most certain, with 82 per cent sure of their choice, while Mr Fillon’s certainty score was up seven points at 75 per cent and Mr Macron’s up nine points to 61 per cent.

Who is Macron?

Emmanuel Macron: born 21 December 1977) is a French politician, senior civil servant, and former investment banker. Born in Amiens, he studied Philosophy at Paris Nanterre University, and later graduated from the École nationale d’administration (ENA) in 2004. He went on to become an Inspector of Finances in the Inspectorate General of Finances (IGF) before becoming an investment banker at Rothschild & Cie Banque.

A member of the Socialist Party (PS) from 2006 to 2009, he was designated deputy secretary-general under François Hollande‘s first government in 2012 before being appointed Minister of Economy, Industry and Digital Affairs in 2014 under the Second Valls Government,[1] where he pushed through business-friendly reforms. He resigned in August 2016[2] in order to launch a bid in the 2017 presidential election.[3] In November 2016, Macron declared that he would stand in the election under the banner of En Marche!, a movement he founded in April 2016.

For Updates:

Early Life and Education:

Born in Amiens, Emmanuel Jean-Michel Frédéric Macron is the son of Jean-Michel Macron, Professor of Neurology at the University of Picardy, and Françoise Macron-Noguès, a physician.

He was educated mostly at the Jésuites de la Providence[4] lycée in Amiens[5] before his parents sent him to finish his last year of school[6] at the élite high school Lycée Henri-IV in Paris. He studied Philosophy at the University of Paris-Ouest Nanterre La Défense, obtaining a DEA degree.

He obtained a Master’s degree in Public Affairs at Sciences Po, before training for a senior civil service career at the École nationale d’administration (ENA), graduating in 2004.[7]

Professional Career:

Macron worked as an Inspector of Finances in the French Ministry of Economy between 2004 and 2008. In 2007, he served as deputy rapporteur for the Commission to improve French growth headed by Jacques Attali.[5]

Macron paid €50,000 to buy himself out of his government contract in 2008,[8] and left to work as an investment banker at Rothschild & Cie Banque,[9] a subsidiary of the British-French Rothschild & Co, created in response to François Mitterrand‘s earlier nationalisation of the Rothschilds’ interests in France.[10] While an investment banker, Macron closed a high-profile deal between Nestlé and Pfizer,[7] which in part allowed him to amass a “small fortune” reportedly in the region of €2,800,000.[9]

Political Career:

Macron was a member of the Socialist Party (PS) from 2006 to 2009. In 2015, he stated that he was no longer a member of the PS and was now an Independent.[11] From 2012 to 2014, he served as deputy secretary-general of the Élysée, a senior role in President Hollande‘s staff.[7] He was appointed Minister of Economy, Industry and Digital Data in the second Valls Cabinet on 26 August 2014, replacing Arnaud Montebourg.[1]

As Minister of the Economy, Macron was at the forefront of pushing through business-friendly reforms. In February 2015, he pledged that the government would force through reforms despite opposition from the parliament.

2017 French Presidential Election:

On 30 August 2016, Macron resigned from the government ahead of the 2017 presidential election.[3] This came shortly after he founded his own progressive[12][13] political movement, En Marche!, an independent political party, for which he was reprimanded by President Hollande.[14] Macron founded En Marche! in Amiens, the city of his birth.[citation needed]

On 16 November 2016, Macron formally declared his candidacy for the French presidency after months of speculation. In his announcement speech, Macron called for a “democratic revolution” and promised to “unblock France”.[15]

Macron attracted criticism for his failure to lay out a formal program during his campaign; despite declaring in November, he had still not released a complete set of proposals by February, attracting both attacks from critics and concern among allies and supporters.[16] He eventually laid out his 150-page formal program on 2 March, publishing it online and discussing it at a marathon press conference that day.[17]

Macron accumulated a wide array of supporters, securing endorsements from François Bayrou of the Democratic Movement (MoDem), MEP Daniel Cohn-Bendit, the ecologist candidate François de Rugy of the primary of the left, and Socialist MP Richard Ferrand, secretary-general of En Marche!, as well as numerous others – many of them from the Socialist Party, but also a significant number of centrist and centre-right politicians.[18]

Political Position:

Macron has been described by some observers as a social liberal[19][20][21][22][23] and by others as a social democrat.[24][25][26] During his time in the French Socialist Party, he supported the party’s right wing,[27] whose political stance has been associated with “third way” policies advanced by Bill Clinton, Tony Blair and Gerhard Schröder, and whose leading spokesman has been former prime minister Manuel Valls.[28][29][30][31]

Economy:

Macron has notably advocated in favor of the free market and reducing the public-finances deficit.[32] He first publicly used the term “liberal” to describe himself in a 2015 interview with Le Monde. He added that he is “neither right nor left” and that he advocates “a collective solidarity.”[33][34] During a visit to the Vendée in August 2016, he stated, “Honesty compels me to say that I am not a socialist.” He explained that he was part of the “left government” because he wanted “to serve the public interest” as any minister would.[35] In his book Revolution, published in November 2016, Macron presents himself as both a “leftist” and a “liberal … if by liberalism one means trust in man.”[36] With his party En Marche!, Macron’s stated aim is to transcend the left-right divide in a manner similar to François Bayrou or Jacques Chaban-Delmas, asserting that “the real divide in our country … is between progressives and conservatives.” With the launch of his independent candidacy and his use of anti-establishment rhetoric, Macron has been labelled a “populist” by some observers, notably Manuel Valls, but Macron rejects this term.[37][38]

He supports the Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA) between Canada and the European Union,[39] criticizing the Walloon government for trying to block it. He believes that CETA should not be validated by national parliaments because “it undermines the EU”.[40] Regarding the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP), Macron stated in June 2016 that “the conditions [to sign the treaty] are not met”, adding that “we mustn’t close the door entirely” and “need a strong link with the US”.[41]

Foreign Policy:

Macron controversially described France’s colonization of Algeria as a “crime against humanity” in an interview with local media.[42] He also said: “It’s truly barbarous and it’s part of a past that we need to confront by apologising to those against whom we committed these acts.”[43]

Macron was in 2012 a Young Leader with the French-American Foundation, a pro-American organisation founded in the 1970s by two US members of the Council on Foreign Relations.

Regarding Syria, Macron has articulated a position “mid-way between political ostracism of the Assad regime and exclusive support for the rebels,” consistent with the French government’s preexisting policy since 2011.

He supports the continuation of President Hollande’s policies on Israel, also opposes the BDS movement, and has refused to state a position on recognition of the State of Palestine.[44]

European Union:

Emmanuel Macron was described by some as europhile[45][46] and federalist[47][48] but he describes himself as “neither pro-european, eurosceptic nor a federalist in the classical sense”,[49] and his party as “the only pro-european political force in France”.[50] In June 2015, Macron and his German counterpart Sigmar Gabriel published a platform advocating a continuation of European integration. They advocate the continuation “of structural reforms (like labor market), institutional reforms (including the area of economic governance)”,[51] but also a reconciliation of ‘tax and social systems (like better coordination or harmonization of the corporate taxes via, for example, minimum wages)”. He also advocates the creation of a post of the EU Commissioner that would be responsible for the Eurozone and Eurozone’s Parliament and a common budget.[52] In addition, Macron stated: “I’m in favor of strengthening anti-dumping measures which have to be faster and more powerful like those in the United States. We also need to establish a monitoring of foreign investments in strategic sectors at the EU level in order to protect a vital industry and to ensure our sovereignty and the European superiority.”[33]

In July 2015, while challenging the “loaded question” of the 2015 Greek referendum, Macron called not to cause “automatic ejection” of Greece from the eurozone and “not doing the Versailles Treaty of eurozone” in which case “no” side won. He believed that the Greek and European leaders co-produced the Greek government-debt crisis,[53] and that the agreement reached in summer 2015 between Greece and its creditors, notably driven by François Hollande, won’t help Greece in dealing with the debt, while at the same time criticizing the International Monetary Fund.[54] In June 2016, he criticized the austerity policies imposed on Greece, considering them to be unsustainable and calling for the joint establishment of “fiscal and financial solidarity mechanisms” and a mechanism for restructuring the debt of eurozone member states.[54] Yanis Varoufakis, Minister of Finance in the First Cabinet of Alexis Tsipras, praised Macron, calling him “the only French Minister in the Francois Hollande’s administration that seemed to understand what was at stake in the eurozone” and who, according to him, “tried to play the intermediary between us [Greece] and the troika of our creditors [EC, IMF, ECB] even if they don’t allow him to play the role”.[55]

Immigration:

Unlike many French Socialists, including former Prime Minister Manuel Valls, Macron supports the open-door policy toward immigrants and refugees pursued by Angela Merkel in Germany.[56] Macron has expressed confidence in France’s ability to absorb more immigrants and welcomes their arrival into Europe, asserting that the influx will have a positive economic impact.[57] However, he believes that Frontex (the European Border and Coast Guard Agency) is “not a sufficiently ambitious program” and has called for more investment in coast and border guards, “because anyone who enters [Europe] at Lampedusa or elsewhere is a concern for all European countries.”[40] Regarding asylum policy, he believes “the […] period of review should be considerably shortened” and that “all those whose claims fail must be deported immediately.”

Security and Terrorism:

Macron believes that the proposed reform bill on deprivation of citizenship for French-born and naturalized citizens convicted on terrorism charges was not a “concrete solution” and believes that “the endless prolongation of the state of emergency raises legitimate questions”. He advocates an increase in state funding of intelligence agencies.[58]

Macron calls for a restoration of community policing and considers that “the management of some major risks must be delegated to the associations’ or the private sector”.[59]

He considers that his proposal to provide each young adult a “Culture Pass” of 500 may encourage young people to discover the culture of France and deter terrorism.[60]

Environment:

Ahead of the 2015 United Nations Climate Change Conference, Macron called for acceleration of the ecological transition and advocated a “balance between ecological imperatives and economic requirements”, an objective that the French government seeks to achieve by fighting on “five fronts”: “innovation”, “simplification”, “strengthening of our energy efficiency and […] reduction of fossil fuels usage”, “energy competitiveness” and “action in Europe and worldwide”.[61]

During summer of 2016, he defended the use of diesel fuel for which he believes there shouldn’t be a “hunt” since it “remains at the heart of the French industrial policy”. Macron expressed this opinion in the aftermath of the Volkswagen emissions scandal for which he was heavily criticized by his party.[62][63][64] In addition, Macron is in favor of using nuclear energy which he considers “a French choice and a choice for the future”.[65]

In 2016, Macron proposed that France “secures its supplies in the most strategic materials using three levers: the circular economy and the recovery of materials contained in the end of life of the products […]; The diversification of supplies to overcome geopolitical risks […] and to bring more competitiveness; the creation of new reasonable sized mines in France, while following the best social and environmental standards”.[66]

Although he is sceptical about the construction of the Aéroport du Grand Ouest, Macron believes that the construction should start since the people backed the project on the 2016 local referendum.[67]

Secularism:

In July 2016, at the first meeting of En Marche!, Macron expressed opposition to the ban on Muslim headscarves in universities, stating, “Personally, I do not believe we should be inventing new texts, new laws, new standards, in order to hunt down veils at universities and go after people who wear religious symbols during field trips.”[68]

In an interview with the French news magazine Marianne, Macron asserted that “secularism is not designed to promote a republican religion,” and responded to comments by Manuel Valls and Jean-Pierre Chevènement regarding the practice of Islam in French society by condemning the notion that citizens should be “discreet” in their religious practice, stating that “historical precedents when we asked for discretion in matters of religion did not bring honor to the Republic.”[69] In the same interview, Macron said of French Muslims, “I ask one thing: absolutely respect the rules while in public. Religious relationships are about transcendence, and I am not asking people to be moderate – that’s not what I’m arguing. My own deep conviction is that a practicing Catholic may believe that the laws of his religion go far beyond the laws of the Republic. I simply believe that when one enters the public realm, the laws of the Republic must prevail over religious law.” Also in the same interview, Macron condemned “religious schools that teach hatred towards the Republic, with instruction mainly in Arabic or, in other instances, which teach the Torah more than basic fundamentals.”[69] This statement triggered an intense negative reaction from the Fonds social juif unifié (FSJU), an organization that runs Jewish religious schools in France.[70]

Personal Life:

Macron is married to Brigitte Trogneux, who is 24 years older than him and was his teacher in La Providence high school, Amiens.[71][72] The pair first met when he was a student in her class, aged 15, but were only officially a couple once he was 18.[73]

His parents initially attempted to split the couple by sending him away to Paris to finish the final year of his schooling, as they felt his youth made this relationship inappropriate,[6][73] but the couple stayed together after he graduated, and were married in 2007.

The couple live with Trogneux’s three children from her previous marriage.[7]

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